The question is not "will we survive?" but, "will AM survive?" As I see it
the problem is more complicated than that which effects us as dxers.
The problem is the transition period during which both analog and digital
are vying for the same occupied bandwidth. That transition period will take
years. Eventually AM becomes digital only, at which time a digital station
will only occupy about the bandwidth an analog only station now occupies.
Then the adjacent 8-15khz hash will be gone. The sideband hash will, at
that time, be immaterial because all radios will be digital. If we are
still dxing then, we will be doing it digitally.
During the transition period, however, AM listenership will dwindle
dramatically as listeners can no longer find a listenable analog signal. As
more and more hybrid digital-analog signals appear, the more the noise will
drive listeners away. Will they return when the transition is complete? I
doubt it. Even if one uses five years as a transition period (it will be
much longer, in actuality), by that time even newer, more technologically
advanced delivery and entertainment mediums will become extant.
Consequently, I can't help believing that the FCC did, in fact, sound the
death knell for AM today.
**** *. *****
Chief Engineer
***** Communications - Philadelphia
W***-AM / W***-AM
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